Download e-book for kindle: Climate Change and Security: A Gathering Storm of Global by Christian Webersik

By Christian Webersik

Alarms in regards to the increasing position of weather switch as a strength multiplier of current threats to nationwide, overseas, and human safety buildings reports are being raised in any respect degrees of governance and intelligence—national (including the U.S. Senate, the Director of nationwide Intelligence, the imperative Intelligence supplier, and the Pentagon), transnational (including the eu Union and the United Nations), and personal (such because the principal information organization and the yank protection Project). weather switch and safeguard: a meeting typhoon of worldwide demanding situations specializes in the 3 significant suggestions results of human-induced weather swap on human and overseas security—resource shortage, typical failures, and sea-level upward push. reducing in step with capita availability of renewable assets because of such neighborhood results of weather switch as drought and desertification results in intensified pageant for those assets and will bring about armed violence—especially whilst compounded via stipulations of swift inhabitants development, tribalism, and sectarianism, as in Darfur and Somalia. the rise within the frequency and depth of meteorological failures linked to international warming weakens already debilitated tropical societies and makes them nonetheless extra prone to political instability, as in Haiti. Sea-level upward push will result in disruptive mass migrations of weather refugees as dense littoral populations are compelled to desert low-lying coastal areas, as in Bangladesh.

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Extra info for Climate Change and Security: A Gathering Storm of Global Challenges (Security and the Environment)

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This in turn breeds antigovernment sentiments and grievances while undermining the government’s legitimacy. By contrast, economic wealth measured in the gross domestic product (GDP) per capita or lower levels of infant mortality reduce the risk of conflict. 65 The longer the peace lasts, the better the chances are that a country will remain peaceful. The nature of the war— whether or not it was very destructive—is also important. 66 In addition, the nature of the peace agreements and the role of third parties influence outcomes.

Org, and in books, and which were in turn based on information from 1999–2006. The Trustees of Columbia University in New York, Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN), Palisades, NY. org. 38 This is particularly true for societies that are already vulnerable due to a high disease burden, poverty, and natural resource dependence. Climate change is Resource Scarcity and Security Implications 27 likely to increase pressures on these societies, but ethno-political exclusion remains important in explaining violence.

Climate variability influences economic performance. Research shows that high climate variability correlates with lowered economic performance. 20 As already mentioned, population growth and gradual industrialization are the main factors. 21 It is likely that climate change will exacerbate this condition. 5). 24 Declining agricultural productivity can lead to low incomes that, in turn, have socioeconomic effects, such as wider socioeconomic inequalities and lower costs to recruit rebel soldiers, potentially fueling political instability and eventually culminating in violence.

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